Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Probability
24¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$3.6K
Liquidity
$27.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dTimeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 761.8h
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 24¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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