0xd7abda1e8f7d84db685a32f1c916c87f24d42059
0xd7abda1e8f7d84db685a32f1c916c87f24d42059
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-702.93
Realised
$-55.82
Win rate
0%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
59 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
49 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
44 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?
26 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
26 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
24 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.04Jun 12, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.19Jun 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$3.10Jun 1, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.15Jun 1, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.48May 31, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.10May 31, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.81May 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.10May 31, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.25May 31, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.12May 31, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.11May 31, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$3.13May 31, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$3.12May 31, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$0.01May 31, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.08May 31, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.11May 31, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.83May 31, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.08May 31, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.95May 31, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.10May 31, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 19:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.