Bossy-Entirety
0xd7afdd16402a4b02bc6345822eda715ea795f22e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$74.61
Total PnL
$-16.97
Realised
$-0.22
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
29 shares @ 63.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$20.71
$2.71
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 28.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.66
$-3.54
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?
38 shares @ 13.3¢·now 12.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
6 shares @ 85.2¢·now 80.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
8 shares @ 67.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.47
$-0.61
- NO
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
4 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$4.17
$0.58
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 82.3¢·now 81.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.60
$-0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$3.41
$0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$3.61Aug 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?$5.07Aug 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?$5.03Aug 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?$5.22Aug 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?$2.40Aug 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$2.02Aug 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?$5.05Aug 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?$5.08Aug 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$39.52Aug 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$10.22Aug 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$271.05Aug 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$145.00Aug 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$43.80Aug 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$24.80Aug 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$25.54Aug 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?$0.08Aug 13, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$0.00Aug 13, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$0.00Aug 13, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$0.00Aug 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$23.41Aug 13, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $58.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 00:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.