Costly-Coevolution
0xd7b612098f7079646176a6eb13028c0a3fa99416
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.39
Total PnL
$-52.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
54 shares @ 37.3¢·now 20.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.13
$-8.87
- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
169 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$-3.73
- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?
2140 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
20 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.38Jun 11, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$42.09May 31, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$4.06May 31, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$15.25May 31, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.62May 31, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.10May 30, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$10.08May 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto$5.90May 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto$6.00Apr 21, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$5.00Apr 21, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?$20.00Apr 21, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$40.54Apr 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.86Apr 7, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$30.00Apr 6, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$31.39Apr 6, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$20.00Apr 5, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.00Mar 23, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.17Mar 22, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.