Respectful-Algebra
0xd7d5d229bcd8fb63ae6bc1faa4f5ea136758693b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 17?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 4?
53 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 11?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?
30 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 98°F or higher on March 22?
30 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 17?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 25?
20 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 8?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 4?
16 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 26?$0.01Jun 26, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?$0.01Jun 22, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?$0.04Jun 22, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 11?$0.05Jun 11, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 7?$0.05Jun 7, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 3?$0.12Jun 3, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 28?$0.75May 28, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 26?$0.25May 26, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?$0.75May 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 15?$2.00May 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.85May 15, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 12?$0.69May 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?$0.19May 6, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?$0.51May 6, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?$1.05May 6, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?$0.10May 6, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?$0.10May 6, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?$0.10May 6, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?$0.04May 6, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?$5.00May 6, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.