Ringed-Sound
0xd7f0cc5b1e2a8c793fc261bb40a3b70ecf558943
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.93
Total PnL
$-392.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
5258 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on May 9?
2571 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5?
1323 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?
1206 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 9?
875 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 180-190mm of precipitation in April?
704 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 9?
596 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 28?
526 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?$11.34Jun 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04Jun 17, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?$12.30Jun 7, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?$9.12Jun 7, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?$9.37Jun 5, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?$4.99Jun 5, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?$10.33Jun 5, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5?$2.10Jun 5, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?$17.24Jun 5, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4?$6.17Jun 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?$10.21Jun 4, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?$10.38Jun 4, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 4?$10.28Jun 4, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 4?$10.30Jun 4, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?$5.17Jun 4, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 3?$15.87Jun 4, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?$17.68Jun 4, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 3?$10.18Jun 3, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 3?$3.13Jun 3, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?$10.22Jun 3, 17:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.