Light-Catastrophe
0xd7f8a1b93a1f7027e79b190d7fd2d9686426465a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.68
Total PnL
$-23.3K
Realised
$-98.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 10.6¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.65
$2.52
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
5090 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
5090 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
5090 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2543 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.13Mar 25, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be less than 1,500,000?$1.01Mar 25, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$1.03Mar 25, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by February 7?$2.00Mar 25, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be less than 1,500,000?$1.00Feb 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by February 7?$1.00Feb 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$1.00Feb 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by February 7?$1.00Feb 4, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$12.84Feb 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.03Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.03Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.05Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.06Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.08Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.08Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.10Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.14Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$214.00Feb 4, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $221.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".