Trusting-Burial
0xd81274a70c420e9af4a0ec1f0eb85b403193b882
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$136.68
Total PnL
$-28.65
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
41 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.29
$5.01
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.22
$2.22
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 March 23-29?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$13.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 28?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.64
$1.64
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
5 shares @ 91.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.21
$1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?$13.00Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$15.00Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 28?$10.00Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 March 23-29?$15.00Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 24?$15.04Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMFlying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?$15.24Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$17.26Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 24, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$17.00Feb 24, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?$15.00Feb 24, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 24?$15.00Feb 24, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$11.06Feb 24, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 9?$12.01Feb 24, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 9?$13.01Feb 24, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 9?$20.02Feb 24, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$11.00Feb 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 9?$12.00Feb 8, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 9?$20.00Feb 8, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 9?$13.00Feb 8, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In$21.00Feb 6, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $11.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.