Sophisticated-Gander
0xd81431e96b2dc36863c2064d38a14a603d1a7f65
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$9.0K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-319.34
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$70.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 14.3¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$211.71
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$430.06
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$965.00
$-334.99
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 9.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$784.99
$-174.91
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$745.00
$-124.88
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$515.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$494.98
$152.31
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9975 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$244.39
$-34.72
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$225.00
$60.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.78Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.81Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.78Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.91Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.99Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?$100.00May 31, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$900.00May 31, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.7KMay 31, 09:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.98May 31, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$2.00May 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.2KMay 30, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $280.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.