Near-Creature
0xd83e48d18a65be8bb3ecdda47d4f20ef725bc0b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$110.19
Total PnL
$-275.36
Realised
$-4.37
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.50
$1.30
- YES
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.85
$0.15
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.15
$0.65
- YES
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.95
$-0.35
- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.55
$-0.85
- YES
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 44.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.50
$-2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$5.90
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 3?
30 shares @ 9.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.85
$3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 3?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.70
$1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.65
$2.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?$4.47Jun 2, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?$1.33Jun 2, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 4?$2.00Jun 2, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$19.79Jun 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 4?$2.70Jun 2, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 3?$2.92Jun 2, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $80M one day after launch$1.94Jun 2, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $40M one day after launch$5.57Jun 2, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4?$1.10Jun 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?$1.10Jun 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4?$1.10Jun 2, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?$1.10Jun 2, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 2?$0.50Jun 2, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 2?$0.99Jun 2, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 2?$1.41Jun 2, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 2?$0.15Jun 2, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 3?$0.95Jun 2, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?$20.86Jun 1, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?$20.86Jun 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?$3.72Jun 1, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 15:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".