Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Probability
59¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-9.5pp
24h Vol
$33.17
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 59¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6014h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 25.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6014.1h
- 14:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6014h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 59¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 59¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 52¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 55¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 56¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 48¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 68¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 68¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 68¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 69¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 68¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 77¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
11- 0¢0.0pp
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $188.92
- 23¢+3.0pp
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $366.28
- 3¢-0.1pp
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 26¢-6.0pp
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $47.99
- 12¢0.0pp
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 54¢-6.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.5M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 54¢-4.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 92¢+27.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $950.9K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (25.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).