Cheap-Straw
0xd847396cf472f311ddc3d614f45d2921f58b09c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$19.03
Total PnL
$-1.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?
2 shares @ 46.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$2.16
$1.16
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will a No. 1 seed win Super Bowl LX
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Feb 10, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $140 end of February?$1.00Feb 4, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a No. 1 seed win Super Bowl LX$1.00Jan 27, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.00Dec 30, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??$1.00Dec 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Dec 8, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?$1.00Nov 26, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Nov 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Nov 11, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Nov 5, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$1.00Oct 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Oct 21, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?$1.00Oct 14, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.12Oct 8, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Přísaha get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.32Oct 8, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-20?$1.64Oct 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.00Oct 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.