Every-Guideline
0xd85f0d89ddaa373f73ce0f6286c5d3cfe27ef447
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.21
Total PnL
$-3.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vitality win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$1.00Jan 6, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?$1.00Jan 6, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?$1.28Jan 6, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Radical left" 3+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$1.56Jan 6, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Flamengo win the 2025 Brasileiro Serie A league?$1.67Jan 6, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Radical left" 3+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$1.00Sep 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?$1.00Sep 4, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?$1.00Aug 21, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?$1.00Aug 15, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Aug 8, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flamengo win the 2025 Brasileiro Serie A league?$1.00Aug 1, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 09:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".