Hurtful-Nuke
0xd886e75f14699e6f63f2660eaddc0a2f1ec91746
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
153
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-879.51
Realised
$-128.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on August 31?
100 shares @ 89.1¢·now 91.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$91.40
$2.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 20?
40 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$38.60
$0.20
- O 80.5
Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
30 shares @ 89.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$26.70
$-0.20
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.25
$-0.45
- NO
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?
35 shares @ 59.6¢·now 60.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$21.00
$0.15
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 74.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.70
$-1.50
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
20 shares @ 95.9¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.73
$-0.45
- NO
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
20 shares @ 89.9¢·now 91.3¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$18.27
$0.29
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 20?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$18.10
$-0.10
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 19?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$18.00
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 20?$0.14Aug 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?$3.80Aug 18, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?$9.80Aug 18, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 20?$0.46Aug 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 20?$3.45Aug 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on August 31?$17.84Aug 18, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat?$2.00Aug 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?$2.45Aug 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 19?$0.69Aug 18, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of August 17 2026?$2.00Aug 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?$3.20Aug 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?$3.20Aug 18, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 20?$38.26Aug 18, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on August 31?$2.44Aug 18, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 19?$17.80Aug 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$6.20Aug 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 19?$3.00Aug 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?$2.88Aug 18, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?$1.22Aug 18, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 17 2026?$1.60Aug 18, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.