Formal-Rider
0xd8a8ba5b2a9229a4d3a45990f73d2272f888534a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$35.13
Total PnL
$-23.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
73 shares @ 68.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.13
$-14.87
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on October 24?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 24?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$0.53May 19, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$40.52May 19, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$45.75May 19, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$4.00May 19, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$88.40May 19, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in March?$341.45May 19, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in March?$341.11Mar 25, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$50.00Mar 25, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$391.12Mar 25, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$385.41Mar 4, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29?$385.40Mar 4, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29?$385.02Nov 29, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$128.21Nov 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$92.30Nov 9, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$100.00Nov 9, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 24?$264.50Nov 9, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 24?$264.24Oct 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 24?$4.00Oct 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on October 24?$5.00Oct 24, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4800 in September?$273.24Oct 24, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $160.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".