Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Probability
66¢
1h
+4.0pp
24h
-5.5pp
24h Vol
$553.57
Liquidity
$13.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14784.5h
- 04:28SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14785h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 04:28PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 66¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 63¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 61¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 59¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 61¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 60¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 64¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 70¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).