Wilted-Burden-Survivor
0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$186.1K
Total PnL
$11.0K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
66%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
17000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$16.8K
$861.30
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10693 shares @ 82.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.5K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
9000 shares @ 94.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.8K
$308.61
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
6666 shares @ 94.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.5K
$203.73
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
6000 shares @ 90.1¢·now 91.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.5K
$76.37
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
6000 shares @ 79.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.2K
$393.22
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
5300 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$99.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.7K
$40.01
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
4000 shares @ 83.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.3K
$-29.99
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
3127 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$3.0K
$12.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$680.75Jun 13, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$48.89Jun 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$217.75Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?$40.00Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$261.00Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$0.27Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$163.39Jun 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$114.00Jun 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$305.36Jun 13, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$571.05Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.30Jun 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$48.13Jun 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.76Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.49Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17.02Jun 13, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.56Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $5.74Jun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.17Jun 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.73Jun 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?$87.80Jun 13, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$11.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 17, 13:30 UTC → May 17, 13:26 UTC
- SELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.8K@97¢May 17, 13:26 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$11.8K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
$11.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $126.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.