Unfolded-Account
0xd8d967246a378887725acee7fdf4d05de8b8df72
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$4.22
Total PnL
$-49.84
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.25
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 1?
3211 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 1?
2140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 10?
1106 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 25?
1102 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?
1101 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
1101 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 1?
1087 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?$2.13Jun 14, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 5?$2.15Jun 5, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.24Jun 2, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.10May 31, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.34May 31, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$1.1KMay 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$1.1KMay 30, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$1.1KMay 29, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$1.1KMay 29, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?$1.1KMay 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?$1.1KMay 28, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 27?$1.1KMay 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 27?$1.1KMay 27, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?$1.1KMay 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?$1.1KMay 24, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 23?$1.1KMay 23, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $428.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.