Welcome-Processor
0xd8e71c280bc65e1ea8d94c2e3a38e614f339b9a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$797.07
Total PnL
$-667.25
Realised
$-54.83
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$259.99
$0.00
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
16029 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$232.42
$75.78
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
968 shares @ 14.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.03
$-20.48
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?
85 shares @ 51.2¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$54.58
$10.94
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?
148 shares @ 50.4¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$53.35
$-21.30
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
1570 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$41.60
$-5.60
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026?
43 shares @ 57.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.86
$-6.94
- YES
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?
89 shares @ 31.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.64
$-17.39
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.87
$-7.13
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026?
5 shares @ 55.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.71
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?$5.40Jul 28, 01:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.11Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?$2.44Jul 28, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?$6.00Jul 28, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?$6.80Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?$7.40Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.78Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$6.12Jul 27, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$10.40Jul 27, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$10.60Jul 27, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$10.60Jul 27, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026?$11.80Jul 27, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026?$0.64Jul 27, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$9.60Jul 27, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$9.60Jul 27, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$9.80Jul 27, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$7.43Jul 27, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026?$12.00Jul 27, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$2.75Jul 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?$4.53Jul 27, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 22:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.