Twin-North
0xd909864132e92638a7345aa90cff9fa02ae7ec21
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$30.05
Total PnL
$-29.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.93
$-6.07
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$13.20
$-6.80
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.93
$-2.07
- YES
Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
454 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 1?
123 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$20.75Apr 30, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$20.72Apr 30, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.19Apr 30, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 1?$5.24Apr 30, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $12.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.