Gentle-Shingle
0xd925e4f45a530beedb8852bb4eb901518215f36f
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-85.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$935.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$835.00
$-85.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 12?
291 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$290.35
$3.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 12?
300 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp May 12, 2026$271.79
$-13.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 12?
266 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$265.76
$4.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 12?
218 shares @ 92.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 12, 2026$218.05
$15.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 12?
200 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 12, 2026$199.50
$1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?
200 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 12, 2026$199.49
$1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?
200 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 12, 2026$199.30
$3.30
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
200 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.90
$3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C or below on May 12?$99.003m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$4.7513m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$4.7513m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$12.3513m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$4.7513m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$4.7513m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$4.7513m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$4.7513m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?$10.8013m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?$88.6120m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 12?$99.0028m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 12?$5.7633m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 12?$4.9533m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 12?$5.5236m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on May 12?$2.8236m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 12?$93.0549m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 12?$12.8859m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 12?$27.901h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 12?$38.931h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?$87.051h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $47.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 3m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
