Ill-Informed-Agenda
0xd93a33fe791922d4cee2d90921b474ac98167665
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$9.94
Total PnL
$-35.27
Realised
$-2.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Neymar score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Neymar score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Neymar score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.56Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$1.02Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.02Jun 13, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.96Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$2.78Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.45Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 11, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.