Specific-Well
0xd93d79aa6f3859873c2c6d0e0e66a9dd112427a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$549.66
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$15.65
Win rate
88%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?
367 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$86.27
$-1.98
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
312 shares @ 24.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$70.12
$-4.88
- YES
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
136 shares @ 30.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$42.73
$1.76
- YES
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?
133 shares @ 30.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$23.91
$-15.94
- NC DINOS
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz
50 shares @ 42.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$23.82
$2.76
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
60 shares @ 40.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$22.54
$-1.50
- YES
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
714 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$22.14
$7.14
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
65 shares @ 27.9¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$19.04
$1.06
- YES
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
129 shares @ 3.9¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$18.03
$13.03
- YES
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
46 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$14.43
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemot$17.19Jun 21, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frech$14.97Jun 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Sinja Kraus$12.94Jun 21, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMallorca Championships: Yannick Hanfmann vs Adolfo Vallejo$15.07Jun 21, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Anastasia Zakharova$13.44Jun 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?$2.88Jun 21, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?$1.46Jun 21, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino$14.50Jun 21, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro$13.76Jun 21, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Giles Hussey vs Marco Trungelliti$15.46Jun 21, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals$15.41Jun 21, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves$15.23Jun 21, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: SSG Landers vs. NC Dinos$13.55Jun 21, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLITF Lourinha: Tiago Torres vs Thijs Boogaard$14.68Jun 21, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova$13.37Jun 21, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces$13.65Jun 21, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kiwoom Heroes$19.57Jun 21, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul$13.46Jun 21, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?$12.91Jun 21, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Anastasia Zakharova$13.69Jun 21, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.