Blond-Wriggler
0xd950ef37b32702061d63e44a8475c360193cad1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$11.4K
Total PnL
$4.2K
Realised
$5.0K
Win rate
65%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1400 shares @ 67.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$72.11
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1600 shares @ 51.7¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$840.00
$12.21
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
1200 shares @ 65.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$798.00
$16.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
800 shares @ 77.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$619.99
$-0.80
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$566.70
$5.70
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
689 shares @ 64.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$485.94
$39.43
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
449 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$436.89
$2.53
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1280 shares @ 38.6¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$435.20
$-59.33
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
772 shares @ 45.5¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$339.88
$-11.58
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 67.2¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$327.49
$-8.27
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.66Jun 14, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.66Jun 14, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$44.07Jun 14, 07:05 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$199.99Jun 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$68.00Jun 14, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$92.00Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.26Jun 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$474.24Jun 14, 06:51 UTC
- MERGE Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$200.00Jun 14, 06:32 UTC
- MERGETrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$300.00Jun 14, 06:32 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$600.00Jun 14, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?$6.00Jun 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$90.00Jun 14, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$100.00Jun 14, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$104.00Jun 14, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$62.40Jun 14, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$100.00Jun 14, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$128.00Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$270.00Jun 14, 00:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.56Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $72.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.