Early-Monopoly
0xd9520cdf8e91423fa09625453c108619fb7f8c9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$95.26
Total PnL
$6.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
7 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.34
$0.34
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.16
$2.16
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.68
$1.68
- NO
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.29
$0.29
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$6.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
6 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$6.11
$0.12
- NO
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$5.17
$0.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$5.13
$0.14
- NO
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$4.62
$0.01
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.21May 2, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Apr 25, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Apr 24, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.51Apr 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$4.00Apr 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$3.00Apr 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$15.88Apr 14, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?$4.61Apr 14, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$3.00Apr 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.00Apr 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$4.00Apr 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$3.00Apr 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?$6.00Apr 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$7.00Apr 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.00Apr 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.00Apr 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$6.00Apr 14, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$4.00Apr 14, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?$4.00Apr 14, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 14, 08:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $14.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.