OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 16, 2026

Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Probability

4¢

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$1.4K

Liquidity

$34.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.6pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:25

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 502.6h
LOW
01:25Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 503h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
20:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
07:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -3.2pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -3.2pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.3pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.3pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.1pp
to 5¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventEurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Category · Other

Market Description

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 16, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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