Costly-Hour
0xd990ad35098482db6b99fdd9aa5c446eac6f4349
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$157.96
Total PnL
$-634.04
Realised
$2.16
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
87 shares @ 48.6¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$58.29
$16.04
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
11 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.99
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 9.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
89 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$-2.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13?$2.07Jun 13, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$1.05Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Maxwell Mckennon$1.14Jun 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 13?$10.02Jun 13, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?$10.00Jun 13, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$4.38Jun 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$2.00Jun 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$1.00Jun 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13?$2.00Jun 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Maxwell Mckennon$1.00Jun 13, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$2.70Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$1.05Jun 13, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$2.01Jun 12, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$2.38Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$2.12Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?$1.01Jun 12, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$1.06Jun 12, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?$2.09Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12?$2.01Jun 12, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.