Costly-Hour
0xd990ad35098482db6b99fdd9aa5c446eac6f4349
Quality score
72/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$153.69
Total PnL
$-609.24
Realised
$-2.96
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
87 shares @ 48.6¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$30.01
$-12.24
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
58 shares @ 51.7¢·now 50.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.38
$-0.61
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
25 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$25.31
$0.82
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
29 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 24?
12 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$12.00
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 25?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$10.05
$0.06
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.41
$-0.58
- NO
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
7 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$7.07
$0.42
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$9.509h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 25?$5.0611h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$2.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?$1.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 26?$5.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 26?$2.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 26?$2.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 26?$5.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 26?$2.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$6.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$2.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$2.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Utah$2.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$15.0017h ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6?$1.0117h ago
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$1.1117h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.