Hefty-Shed
0xd9a96966a606ac49e3b87a4bea999eb282dbf1b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.32
Total PnL
$-37.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Epstein client list released by June 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?
447 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
195 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$3.41Apr 20, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$15.90Apr 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?$1.00Apr 20, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$10.00Apr 20, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$6.90Apr 20, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$3.44Apr 20, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$3.07Apr 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$6.00Apr 20, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$5.14Apr 20, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$5.00Apr 20, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Apr 18, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?$16.39Apr 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$36.61Apr 15, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Apr 15, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Apr 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.87Apr 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$18.00Apr 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$30.00Apr 15, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $16.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.