Tedious-Minimum
0xd9bd6cfc35de3991bd3b067096595f98bcb88469
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$365.43
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$128.57
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1009 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.23
$-85.77
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
989 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.83
$14.83
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2088 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.67
$-3.64
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
3526 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.49
$-49.44
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
921 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.19
$-8.81
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
824 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.01
$-52.99
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
3409 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-136.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
1019 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
701 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
641 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$69.92May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$70.11May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$45.67May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$52.52May 11, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$163.33May 8, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$164.36May 8, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$89.00May 8, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$40.50May 6, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$30.00May 6, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?$67.99May 6, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$36.00Apr 15, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$38.26Apr 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$27.00Apr 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$10.04Apr 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$40.00Apr 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$49.96Apr 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$40.00Apr 14, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$47.07Apr 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$40.00Apr 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$50.00Apr 14, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $55.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".