Cavernous-Tire
0xd9d4fdaa611e980ceec3366dd40dceeaa652f883
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$15.90
Total PnL
$-0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
4 shares @ 52.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.79
$1.79
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.37
$0.37
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
2 shares @ 61.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1 shares @ 70.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?
1 shares @ 85.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Feb 12, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Feb 6, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 28, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Jan 22, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Jan 5, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?$1.00Dec 25, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Vienna Men’s Singles Tournament?$1.01Dec 25, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.02Dec 25, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?$1.13Dec 25, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.15Dec 25, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.32Dec 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 10, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 20, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?$1.00Nov 6, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks say "Pumpkin Spice" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 30, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Vienna Men’s Singles Tournament?$1.00Oct 23, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".