Serious-Farmer
0xda02ad979a0e493076197abef993e04ef2872766
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$5.97
Total PnL
$-50.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 27?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 27?
314 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will Trump dance today?
192 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
153 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 8?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 27?
66 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 10, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 10, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 10, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$54.55Jun 1, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$5.15May 29, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$5.08May 29, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.05May 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.05May 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.03May 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.28May 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$7.18May 15, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.30May 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.02May 9, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 8?$1.05May 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.54Apr 28, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.20Apr 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 10:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.