Teeming-Noon
0xda03cf4dae02a0f9da0ed12a1a652a4262b408c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$19.48
Total PnL
$-64.66
Realised
$0.95
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 25.2¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 89.1¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 28.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.64
$-0.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
10 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
10 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.79May 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$3.04May 31, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00May 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.02May 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.21Apr 30, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$15.16Apr 8, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.00Mar 31, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)$1.00Mar 16, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Women's Sports" this week? (March 22)$1.00Mar 16, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 14, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?$1.00Mar 10, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Mar 10, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Regime" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)$7.69Mar 10, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 6, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".