Aware-Veteran
0xda0f4e3f79a50b8601b3cb9d421f48ce11bbf0e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$545.67
Win rate
15%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10000 shares @ 44.5¢·now 37.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.8K
$-669.94
- YES
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
3271 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
2520 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-615.37
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?
1291 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.72
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 4?
1006 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- NO
Over $10M committed to the RipCars public sale?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 52 million or more views on day 4?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
895 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-135.46
- YES
Will Magic win PGL Astana 2026?
742 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-32.03
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
629 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-129.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$770.00Aug 15, 06:54 UTC
- REWARD$0.43Aug 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.58Aug 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$9.02Aug 11, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$2.86Aug 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$7.71Aug 11, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$6.13Aug 11, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$69.91Aug 11, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$31.06Aug 11, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.00Aug 10, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$836.00Aug 9, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$715.93Aug 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$33.39Aug 9, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$26.65Aug 9, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$10.63Aug 9, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$17.04Aug 9, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$13.51Aug 9, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$15.46Aug 9, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$33.09Aug 9, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$5.45Aug 8, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
35/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $121.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.