Uniform-Dependency
0xda10210112de781ab1da455a919e9d5a3d9f1028
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$391.32
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-39.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4824 shares @ 18.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$313.57
$-586.19
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
- YES
Trump on $250 bill this year?
1110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.75
$-72.25
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
303 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
272 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
263 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$6.33Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLCabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5$578.85Jun 27, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5$1.0KJun 27, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$1.1KJun 26, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTürkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5$1.1KJun 26, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5$1.0KJun 26, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLParaguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5$183.20Jun 26, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5$504.54Jun 26, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTürkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5$1.1KJun 26, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5$1.0KJun 26, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$1.0KJun 26, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Japan (-1.5)$1.2KJun 26, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5$1.2KJun 26, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5$1.0KJun 25, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Japan (-1.5)$1.0KJun 25, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5$1.1KJun 25, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5$418.64Jun 25, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLCzechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5$1.1KJun 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. Mexico: O/U 0.5$1.0KJun 25, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5$1.0KJun 25, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $826.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.