Lovely-Iridescence
0xda179b2ebef1c02f50a28efd5dd57b3834ea9b48
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$75.36
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
1500 shares @ 78.2¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.3K
$87.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" at The Villages on May 1?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$73.53
$-26.47
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?
161 shares @ 43.5¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$65.90
$-4.10
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?
78 shares @ 38.6¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$22.56
$-7.44
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at The Villages on May 1?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$20.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?
16 shares @ 63.5¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$6.30
$-3.70
- YES
Will Trump say "No No No" at The Villages on May 1?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?
1154 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
446 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?$162.2416m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$135.771h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$44.231h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$182.501h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?$20.511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?$30.671h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?$20.452h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" at The Villages on May 1?$101.282h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?$10.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" at The Villages on May 1?$5.132h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?$10.222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?$19.252h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?$20.462h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$1.752h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$10.362h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$403.382h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$149.212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?$142.982h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$255.653h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?$27.123h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $62.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 16m ago
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".