Breakable-Cassock
0xda18ddb2e4a2f6275918f26b89cb7d5aabfb39be
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$4.52
Total PnL
$-19.65
Realised
$-9.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?$5.00Aug 16, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$48.19Aug 16, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$45.12Jul 6, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5$55.43Jul 6, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5$51.12Jun 24, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$51.88Jun 24, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$45.00Jun 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$18.33Jun 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$19.05Jun 4, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 19?$18.61Jun 4, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 19?$18.03May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$18.03May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$19.08May 16, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?$17.98May 16, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?$17.31May 15, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$16.07May 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$21.42May 13, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$9.00May 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.39Apr 20, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$9.20Apr 20, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $20.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.