Necessary-Bow
0xda4955fd441c8a392aacc8f0b485ff9a911c71ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$336.12
Total PnL
$-33.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
104 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$104.49
$4.49
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
115 shares @ 86.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.05
$3.05
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
111 shares @ 90.5¢·now 63.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.02
$-29.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?
30 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$30.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$28.17
$8.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
2025 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$100.00Feb 22, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?$30.00Feb 22, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$20.00Feb 22, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$100.00Feb 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$100.00Feb 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.90Feb 22, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMOver 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?$50.00Feb 22, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$75.00Feb 22, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$100.60Feb 22, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$105.26Feb 22, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$146.34Feb 22, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?$1.30Oct 27, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?$48.50Oct 27, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$100.00Oct 27, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$20.00Oct 27, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$100.00Oct 27, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$66.00Oct 27, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$20.00Oct 27, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$120.00Sep 18, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $59.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.