Abandoned-Garage
0xda5bb6fb71cd309e6c9ee3bc819982fbe202b124
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$245.37
Total PnL
$-22.77
Realised
$11.64
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
34 shares @ 88.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.46
$2.45
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.68
$0.54
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
17 shares @ 86.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.61
$1.31
- NO
Will Trump talk to MrBeast in February?
15 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$15.10
$0.33
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.33
$2.33
- NO
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
11 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
7 shares @ 66.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.91
$2.29
- NO
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.76
$1.01
- NO
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?
8 shares @ 61.6¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.55
$1.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTimothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?$10.20Mar 9, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?$3.17Mar 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?$4.50Mar 1, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?$4.14Feb 28, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" in Corpus Christi on Friday?$0.00Feb 28, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$0.00Feb 28, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" in Corpus Christi on Friday?$0.00Feb 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.44Feb 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?$9.99Feb 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$6.84Feb 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" in Corpus Christi on Friday?$0.00Feb 28, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$0.00Feb 28, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" in Corpus Christi on Friday?$0.00Feb 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Feb 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.40Feb 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.40Feb 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$7.00Feb 28, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.