0xda62e86d767704dd9208be72634f5b2a2d4a1913
0xda62e86d767704dd9208be72634f5b2a2d4a1913
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$47.21
Total PnL
$-13.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$9.43
$4.43
- NO
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$8.06
$3.06
- NO
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
8 shares @ 62.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$8.04
$3.04
- NO
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.76
$1.76
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$6.33
$1.33
- NO
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Will the Labour Party (PvdA) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.42
$0.85
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
17 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?
9 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$5.00Mar 19, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?$6.85Mar 19, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$5.00Mar 19, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 17?$6.49Mar 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$5.00Mar 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$5.00Mar 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?$5.00Mar 18, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$5.00Mar 18, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 17, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.24Mar 17, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?$0.00Mar 17, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?$6.25Mar 17, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?$1.69Mar 17, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$5.00Mar 17, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$5.00Mar 17, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 17, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$5.00Mar 17, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$5.00Mar 16, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?$2.95Mar 16, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 16?$0.00Mar 16, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".