Common-Ascend
0xda7614956d08c78ee26b2d4d974ed465ebb8bf0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-417.11
Realised
$-4.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
492 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 4AM ET
320 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-66.20
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
317 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
306 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
251 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
175 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?$1.00Dec 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?$1.00Dec 23, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$0.00Dec 23, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$4.70Dec 22, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.80Dec 22, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$1.00Dec 22, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$1.00Dec 22, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$1.00Dec 22, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced by March 31?$11.53Dec 22, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 21, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced by March 31?$5.00Dec 20, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$5.00Dec 19, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$5.00Dec 19, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $1.00Dec 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $4.00Dec 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 16, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$0.00Dec 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.00Dec 13, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".