Alienated-Toll
0xdaca34d9af0ff87be45cb51f6174aeb2c0466c92
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$30.27
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-81.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.87
$-0.01
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$0.04
- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.76
$0.07
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 94.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.61
$-0.05
- NO
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$0.23
- NO
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.1¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.76
$-0.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.66
$-0.01
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.46
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$5.68Jun 1, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$5.02May 30, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?$1.41May 27, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$3.00May 27, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?$1.03May 24, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 23?$1.02May 23, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 23?$1.00May 22, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?$1.25May 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?$1.23May 17, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.02May 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?$1.39May 17, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$1.00May 17, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?$1.89May 17, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?$2.00May 17, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?$2.03May 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$43.45Apr 27, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?$2.00Apr 24, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$1.00Apr 19, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?$2.00Apr 19, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$48.45Apr 19, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $7.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".