Tough-Break
0xdaf6d2c11b10f0b2e542bf3cb5d8b749a5524ba0
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$26.72
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 21.7¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$18.45
$-3.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.23
$1.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
4 shares @ 49.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.05
$2.05
- GIANTS
Giants vs. Lions
5000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Heat
4500 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- MISSOURI
Missouri vs. Oklahoma
4000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- BULLS
Heat vs. Bulls
3000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- KNICKS
Magic vs. Knicks
1600 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- SOUTH CAROLINA
South Carolina vs. Texas A&M
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Suns
265 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-262.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$17.00Jun 13, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.06Jun 7, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.28Jun 7, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.76Jun 7, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$17.60Jun 7, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$3.06May 30, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.04May 30, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.03May 30, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$3.10May 30, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.04May 30, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.03May 30, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$11.36May 25, 12:04 UTC
- REWARD$0.64May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$10.49May 19, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$49.71May 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$46.00Apr 20, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Raptors$50.00Apr 20, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors$19.50Mar 15, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiants vs. Lions$600.00Nov 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissouri vs. Oklahoma$1.3KNov 22, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $331.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.