Tidy-Gigantism
0xdb26ca3f0380ba67ac255ac0a4b3e6be9cafa0f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$20.18
Total PnL
$-9.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
20 shares @ 50.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$20.18
$9.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on January 20?
14 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$10.58Jul 10, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$10.74Jun 4, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$2.50Apr 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the IL-13 House seat?$4.55Apr 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$4.95Apr 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$4.88Apr 19, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$4.15Mar 23, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IL-13 House seat?$4.60Feb 28, 03:53 UTC
- REWARD$1.43Feb 25, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.99Feb 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.20Feb 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.44Feb 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$4.57Feb 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.20Feb 24, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.80Feb 24, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$4.00Feb 24, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMIllawarra Hawks vs. Sydney Kings$10.28Feb 24, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllawarra Hawks vs. Sydney Kings$8.33Feb 13, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on January 20?$9.37Jan 20, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$6.37Jan 20, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $27.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.