Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Probability
45¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$96.95
Liquidity
$3.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-11.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 45¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 752h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $3.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 751.9h
- 16:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 752h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:06PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 47¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 45¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 45¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 44¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 2nd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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