Loud-Fragrance
0xdb46f01f8c6332c560e96678e3c7209e5e63591c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.98
Total PnL
$-0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 32.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.06
$2.06
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$1.00Apr 12, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Apr 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Apr 12, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Apr 12, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.00Apr 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Apr 1, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$3.00Apr 1, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.01Apr 1, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$1.01Apr 1, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.01Apr 1, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.