Half-War
0xdb4b4bc03616996f3ac2b0c463d0bf049418f4df
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$971.74
Total PnL
$-8.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
216 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$213.73
$0.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 8?
208 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$205.19
$1.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?
212 shares @ 88.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$176.60
$-11.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 9?
154 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$143.22
$-3.08
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
132 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$130.88
$5.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on June 9?
55 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$54.64
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on June 9?
50 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$47.48
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on June 9?$54.73Jun 7, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?$188.74Jun 7, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 9?$146.67Jun 7, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on June 9?$48.57Jun 7, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 8?$203.98Jun 7, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$430.65Jun 6, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$212.72Jun 6, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$213.19Jun 3, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$213.19Jun 3, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$213.37May 19, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$213.15May 15, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$210.58May 10, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$210.57May 8, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$836.47May 6, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$0.00May 6, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$836.49May 6, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$125.91Apr 29, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$126.23Apr 29, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$835.68Apr 27, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$122.52Apr 27, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $370.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.