Defiant-Grenade
0xdb59e28cb2e4518cc4d3e82aae73d51759515cc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.09
Total PnL
$-51.03
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.23
$-0.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.06
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 11?
5358 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 9-15?
1124 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 29?
1111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 10?
1107 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 7?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
1096 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 5?
1090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.66Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.04Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.13Jun 2, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.30Jun 2, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.24Jun 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 2?$2.14Jun 2, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?$2.10May 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.29May 21, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?$2.10May 15, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.13May 6, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.16May 6, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.13May 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 6?$2.12May 6, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$2.15Apr 27, 01:56 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Apr 23, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 21?$1.1KApr 22, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 21?$1.1KApr 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on April 20?$1.1KApr 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on April 20?$1.1KApr 20, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?$1.1KApr 20, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $353.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".