Conscious-Balloonist
0xdb5be224b02ff97ca99b4e873ae4f8cc3c77d57b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-101.36
Realised
$-6.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
1310 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
92 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
68 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
24 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Mar 10, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.00Mar 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.26Mar 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.89Mar 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.48Mar 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.33Mar 9, 17:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 9, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 8, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 6, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 5, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 4, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 2, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 1, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Feb 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Feb 27, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Feb 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Feb 25, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Feb 24, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $9.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".