0xdb61e8b52bdece524cffcec80a73d5565b6a6032
0xdb61e8b52bdece524cffcec80a73d5565b6a6032
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$62.09
Total PnL
$-939.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
13038 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$32.59
$-85.98
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
7000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.50
$-24.50
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
810 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.88
$-41.71
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
13750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.87
$-38.10
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1246 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.74
$-12.74
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
428 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
36000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.98
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
17000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.98
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
15796 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-230.90
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
11333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$50.32Jun 1, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$104.19Jun 1, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.16May 21, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.90May 21, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.80May 21, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.80May 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.06May 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$82.35May 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 10, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 10, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50May 10, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50May 10, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50May 10, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.99May 10, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.49May 10, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$10.49May 10, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$2.08May 10, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$9.39May 10, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.40May 10, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$200.00May 10, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.