Generous-Institution
0xdb6383cd2931111df91dccf914422690bff2c8f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$111.42
Total PnL
$-13.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?
35 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$35.06
$0.07
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
45 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.81
$3.81
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.99
$0.99
- NO
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
41 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
38 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$35.00Apr 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$30.00Apr 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$20.00Apr 20, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$6.58Apr 20, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$22.11Apr 20, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$30.49Apr 20, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$20.00Mar 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2.00Mar 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$21.00Mar 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$30.00Mar 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$5.00Mar 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$12.00Mar 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 11, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$17.07Mar 11, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$28.00Mar 11, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$55.33Mar 11, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$55.00Nov 28, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$21.00Nov 28, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$12.00Nov 28, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$5.00Nov 28, 23:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $15.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.